Well-Lit-Cleric

0x41bb029a2a2aa76315ff7a9f426a77675f9626e8

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Well-Lit-Cleric: +$4.9K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 27% (95% range 10%–57%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.9K
return +16.6%
Settled bets
11
$30K staked
Won
27.3%
95% range 10%–57%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$4.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 BUY Movistar KOI @ 59¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 15 BUY G2 Ares @ 46¢
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage $1.2K
Sep 14 SELL Elias Ymer @ 99.9¢
Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin
Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin $14K
Sep 14 BUY Elias Ymer @ 43¢
Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin
Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin $3.1K
Sep 14 BUY Dplus KIA Challengers @ 43¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner $5.0K
Sep 13 BUY Bills @ 53¢
Bills vs. Texans
Bills vs. Texans $13K
Sep 13 BUY Anyones Legend @ 54¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $4.7K
Sep 13 SELL Bilibili Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner $5.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed