Nutty-Schnitzel
0x2e6cbf2564cc6b9702d79dad46279c2865710c51
Nutty-Schnitzel: −$93K on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 20%–57%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$93K
return −27.8%
Settled bets
22
$334K staked
Won
36.4%
95% range 20%–57%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$93K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | BUY Oksana Selekhmeteva
@ 39¢
Valencia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Nastasja Schunk |
Valencia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Nastasja Schunk | $20K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Lucia Cortez Llorca
@ 86¢
Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca |
Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca | $40K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Lucia Cortez Llorca
@ 66¢
Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca |
Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca | $40K |
| Sep 15 | SELL Fajing Sun
@ 99.9¢
Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau |
Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau | $37K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Jake Delaney
@ 82¢
Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi |
Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi | $30K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Pavel Kotov
@ 80¢
Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov |
Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | $20K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Thanh Minh Truong
@ 5¢
Phan Thiet 4: Thanh Minh Truong vs Florent Bax |
Phan Thiet 4: Thanh Minh Truong vs Florent Bax | $2.0K |
| Sep 15 | SELL Thanh Minh Truong
@ 12¢
Phan Thiet 4: Thanh Minh Truong vs Florent Bax |
Phan Thiet 4: Thanh Minh Truong vs Florent Bax | $2.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.