Virtuous-Lye
0x441909510a0b18a7df9f5ea588314a53d5bcfcf4
Virtuous-Lye: −$66K on 87 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 44%–64%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$66K
return −14.1%
Settled bets
87
$473K staked
Won
54.0%
95% range 44%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 71 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$21K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$4.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$50K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL Lea Ma
@ 99.9¢
W50 Lexington, SC: Linea Bajraliu vs Lea Ma |
W50 Lexington, SC: Linea Bajraliu vs Lea Ma | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | SELL 9z
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Andrej Martin
@ 99.9¢
Palermo: Louis Wessels vs Andrej Martin |
Palermo: Louis Wessels vs Andrej Martin | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY California
@ 67¢
California vs. UNLV |
California vs. UNLV | $2.4K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Guido Justo
@ 99.9¢
Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Tomas Barrios |
Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Tomas Barrios | $3.4K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Leolia Jeanjean
@ 99.9¢
Adana: Antonia Ruzic vs Leolia Jeanjean |
Adana: Antonia Ruzic vs Leolia Jeanjean | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Leolia Jeanjean
@ 87¢
Adana: Antonia Ruzic vs Leolia Jeanjean |
Adana: Antonia Ruzic vs Leolia Jeanjean | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Antonia Ruzic
@ 32¢
Adana: Antonia Ruzic vs Leolia Jeanjean |
Adana: Antonia Ruzic vs Leolia Jeanjean | $2.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.