Delayed-Cardboard

0x2da1e296796be933c357a6c650cdef38d714fb50

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Delayed-Cardboard: +$1.0K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 23%–71%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.0K
return +17.8%
Settled bets
13
$5.8K staked
Won
46.2%
95% range 23%–71%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$1.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 2 SELL Denis Shapovalov @ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche $1.4K
Sep 2 SELL Francesca Jones @ 99.9¢
US Open WTA: Magda Linette vs Francesca Jones
US Open WTA: Magda Linette vs Francesca Jones $1.3K
Sep 2 SELL Marta Kostyuk @ 99.9¢
US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephens
US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephens $1.3K
Sep 2 SELL Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev $1.3K
Sep 2 BUY Paula Badosa @ 97¢
US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa
US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa $1.2K
Sep 2 BUY Diana Shnaider @ 98¢
US Open WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider
US Open WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider $1.2K
Sep 2 SELL Alexander Zverev @ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego $1.2K
Sep 1 SELL Yulia Putintseva @ 99.9¢
US Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
US Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed