Stable-Petal
Skill vs luck
Stable-Petal on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit +$1.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Stable-Petal: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe361500f7644245559c48a3199f6d8ca7cf7bf48. Data CC BY 4.0.
Stable-Petal: +$1.7K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 2 – Oct 16
- −$807
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- +$2.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY Nauhany Leme Da Silva @ 33¢ | Curitiba: Francesca Jones vs Nauhany Leme Da Silva ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 29 | SELL Valentin Vacherot @ 99.9¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw? |
Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw? | $1.2K |
| Oct 15 | SELL Yes
@ 64¢
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-14? |
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-14? | $1.4K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.