Shameless-Fifth-Ridge

0xcfe8f6cc8ff9cb68985b7af650ef6dbe9a373a6c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
−$10K
return −17.4%
Settled bets
3
$60K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$10K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

In the live feed

$88K bought Gustavo Heide at 93¢

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 Bought Arthur Fery at 61¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic $17K
Oct 6 Bought Yanaki Milev at 51¢
Palermo: Ivan Gakhov vs Yanaki Milev
Palermo: Ivan Gakhov vs Yanaki Milev $5.0K
Oct 5 Bought Luca Nardi at 39¢
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi $22K
Oct 5 Bought Luca Nardi at 38¢
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi $1.6K
Oct 4 Sold Ryan Seggerman at 99.9¢
Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima
Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima $33K
Sep 30 Bought Novak Djokovic at 73¢
China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic
China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic $36K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed