Polymarket market · Sports
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul
Resolved: Tommy Paul won · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $78K on this market since Oct 22, 52% of their buying on Tommy Paul. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 4.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Tommy Paul won, with 52% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$10K and 3 lost −$30K: −$20K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$3.8K on Tommy Paul. Biggest loss: Embellished-Lecture, −$27K on Corentin Moutet.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Lecture
71 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Corentin Moutet @ 36¢ | $27K | — | −$27K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,922 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tommy Paul @ 74¢ | $11K | — | +$3.8K |
| Sudden-Battalion
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Tommy Paul @ 77¢ | $3.9K | $2.5K | +$670 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,219 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $5.5K | — |
| Exalted-Evocation
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 77¢ | $5.0K | — | +$1.5K |
| Slow-Escape
374 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tommy Paul @ 75¢ | $3.8K | — | +$1.3K |
| Sad-Help
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.4K | — |
| Trusty-Scooter
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 77¢ | $3.0K | — | +$896 |
| Bronze-Dysfunction
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Corentin Moutet @ 31¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Dirty-Scrambled
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,858 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tommy Paul @ 88¢ | $1.6K | — | +$219 |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
262 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 85¢ | $1.6K | — | +$278 |
| Alarming-Lawmaker
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Tommy Paul @ 77¢ | $1.3K | — | +$397 |
| Numb-Ramie
44 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Corentin Moutet @ 22¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Luminous-Collision
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 77¢ | $1.2K | — | +$362 |
| Overcooked-Recorder
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
| Medical-Manifestation
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Tommy Paul @ 60¢ | $1.0K | — | +$667 |
Where the whale money went
-
Tommy Paul won$33K52% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $11K sold
-
Corentin Moutet lost$30K48% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $3.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Panthers (-3.5) | $73K | 3 | Open | |
| European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo | $62K | 7 | Won: Francisco Cerundolo | |
| Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz | $72K | 14 | Won: Taylor Fritz | |
| Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider | $153K | 25 | Won: Diana Shnaider | |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano | $203K | 4 | Won: Filippo Romano | |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) | $58K | 9 | Won: Kings | |
| Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig | $149K | 4 | Won: Marco Trungelliti | |
| Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic | $121K | 15 | Won: Katie Boulter |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?