Polymarket market · Sports
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig
Resolved: Marco Trungelliti won · See it on Polymarket ↗
4 whales traded $149K on this market since Oct 23, 92% of their buying on Marco Trungelliti. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 11.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Marco Trungelliti won, with 92% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$46K and 2 lost −$4.6K: +$41K between them. Biggest win: Embellished-Lecture, +$46K on Marco Trungelliti. Biggest loss: Organic-Networking, −$3.6K on Matej Dodig.
The whales on this market
4 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Lecture
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Marco Trungelliti @ 52¢ | $49K | $95K | +$46K |
| Organic-Networking
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Matej Dodig @ 54¢ | $3.6K | — | −$3.6K |
| Important-Deed-Nestmate
21 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,764 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Matej Dodig @ 14¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Marco Trungelliti won$49K92% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $96K sold
-
Matej Dodig lost$4.6K9% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic | $121K | 15 | Won: Katie Boulter | |
| Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | $217K | 19 | Won: Leylah Fernandez | |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano | $203K | 4 | Won: Filippo Romano | |
| Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider | $153K | 25 | Won: Diana Shnaider | |
| European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo | $62K | 7 | Won: Francisco Cerundolo | |
| Guangzhou 2: Yi Zhou vs Andre Ilagan | $90K | 4 | Won: Yi Zhou | |
| Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul | $78K | 17 | Won: Tommy Paul | |
| Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger | $60K | 7 | Won: Ashlyn Krueger |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?