Dirty-Scrambled

0x9a4b3de361096b3fc2487e03b1ca5a3cff93a0c7

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dirty-Scrambled: +$2.8K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 74% (95% range 54%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$2.8K
return +9.1%
Settled bets
23
$31K staked
Won
73.9%
95% range 54%–88%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$205
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$603
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$2.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 86¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.4K
Oct 9 BUY Paper Rex @ 97¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 9 BUY Lakers @ 92¢
Kings vs. Lakers
Kings vs. Lakers $2.4K
Oct 4 BUY ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix @ 77¢
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage $1.5K
Oct 3 SELL Team WE @ 87¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $2.1K
Oct 3 BUY Team WE @ 77¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.8K
Oct 2 SELL T1 @ 99.9¢
Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A
Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A $1.2K
Sep 26 BUY Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition @ 70¢
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs PCIFIC (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs PCIFIC (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed