Sudden-Battalion
Skill vs luck
Sudden-Battalion on Polymarket: 10 settled bets · won 80% (95% range 49%–94%) · profit +$8.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −6.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 20, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Sudden-Battalion: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 20, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd8dbc955de9b528045682ee6abc86ee9daabccfb. Data CC BY 4.0.
Sudden-Battalion: +$8.6K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 49%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$4.4K
- Oct 4 – Oct 20
- +$4.2K
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | SELL Ann Li @ 99.9¢ | Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones ↗ | $6.6K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Ann Li @ 73¢ | Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones ↗ | $5.9K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 99.04¢ | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Aug 30 | SELL Under
@ 37¢
Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 |
Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.1K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Under
@ 59¢
Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 |
Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.8K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Yes
@ 78¢
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-29? |
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-29? | $1.6K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Yes @ 80¢ | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? ↗ | $4.0K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Over
@ 81¢
AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5 |
AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5 | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?