Polymarket market · Sports
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Resolved: Daniil Medvedev won · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales traded $110K on this market since Oct 24, 72% of their buying on Daniil Medvedev. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 3.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Daniil Medvedev won, with 72% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$25K and 3 lost −$29K: −$3.7K between them. Biggest win: Dizzy-Coliseum, +$13K on Daniil Medvedev. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$22K on Nikoloz Basilashvili.
The whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dizzy-Coliseum
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 73¢ | $35K | — | +$13K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,130 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Nikoloz Basilashvili @ 27¢ | $24K | — | −$22K |
| True-Drum-Volcano
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniil Medvedev @ 75¢ | $6.7K | $2.8K | +$1.5K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 72¢ | $7.4K | — | +$2.8K |
| Long-Term-Sustainment-Globe
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniil Medvedev @ 94¢ | $6.9K | — | +$440 |
| Lone-Stench
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 55¢ | $5.5K | — | +$4.5K |
| Horrible-Recording
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nikoloz Basilashvili @ 30¢ | $4.3K | — | −$4.3K |
| Cheery-Communication
91 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.8K | — |
| Reckless-Derivation
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 76¢ | $3.3K | — | +$1.0K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,955 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Daniil Medvedev @ 75¢ | $2.5K | — | +$826 |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat
217 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nikoloz Basilashvili @ 21¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Delirious-Summer
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniil Medvedev @ 80¢ | $1.6K | — | +$399 |
| Quick-Witted-Octavo
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 99.87¢ | $1.6K | — | +$2 |
| Perfect-Purchase
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 94¢ | $1.4K | — | +$88 |
| Neat-Temperature
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
| Limping-Shine
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 79¢ | $1.0K | — | +$266 |
Where the whale money went
-
Daniil Medvedev won$74K72% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $7.7K sold
-
Nikoloz Basilashvili lost$29K28% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez | $172K | 17 | Won: Elena Rybakina | |
| Spread: Panthers (-7.5) | $52K | 8 | Won: Buccaneers | |
| Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov | $102K | 4 | Won: Semen Pankin | |
| Spread: Jets (-4.5) | $70K | 4 | Won: Dolphins | |
| Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5 | $157K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Panthers (-3.5) | $76K | 4 | Won: Buccaneers | |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | $144K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5 | $108K | 5 | Won: Under |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?