Delirious-Summer
Skill vs luck
Delirious-Summer on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–49%) · profit −$2.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −6.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 20, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Delirious-Summer: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 20, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x896dbd7e27616b3691735ac3c43300ff50becd2c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Delirious-Summer: −$2.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 4 – Oct 20
- −$2.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | BUY Lorenzo Sonego
@ 56¢
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame |
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame | $1.4K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Marie Bouzkova @ 99.9¢ | Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Pierre-Hugues Herbert
@ 99.9¢
Lyon Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva |
Lyon Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva | $1.6K |
| Oct 18 | BUY Rams @ 74¢ | Cardinals vs. Rams ↗ | $1.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?