Quick-Witted-Octavo

0x14f147aad3c4a759e5c9350491af61646f2c4a46

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Quick-Witted-Octavo: +$3.7K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 61%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.7K
return +4.1%
Settled bets
6
$91K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 61%–100%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$3.6K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$1
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$109
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot $7.3K
Oct 7 BUY FlyQuest @ 99.9¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $14K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? $2.0K
Sep 26 BUY Xtreme Gaming @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner $65K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? $1.1K
Aug 26 BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 39¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels $2.3K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed