Polymarket market · Sports

Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez

Resolved: Elena Rybakina won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales traded $172K on this market since Oct 25, 94% of their buying on Elena Rybakina. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Elena Rybakina won, with 94% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$38K and 4 lost −$8.7K: +$29K between them. Biggest win: Dizzy-Coliseum, +$26K on Elena Rybakina. Biggest loss: Ajar-Thief-Rooster, −$3.9K on Leylah Fernandez.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Dizzy-Coliseum
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 73¢ $70K — +$26K
Enchanting-Oats-Veal
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 86¢ $11K $9.7K +$1.1K
Knowledgeable-Steel
94 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 74¢ $18K — +$6.3K
Hasty-Spokeswoman-Listing
3 settled bets Too few bets
Elena Rybakina @ 83¢ $9.5K $7.6K +$1.6K
Naughty-Tab
135 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 92¢ $12K $2.1K −$539
Willing-Skiing
143 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 89¢ $9.4K — +$1.2K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,130 settled bets Beat the odds*
Elena Rybakina @ 83¢ $3.9K — +$791
Ajar-Thief-Rooster
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Leylah Fernandez @ 30¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Gloomy-Marxism-Idiom
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.4K —
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
173 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Leylah Fernandez @ 28¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Sad-Mention
3 settled bets Too few bets
Elena Rybakina @ 89¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Inexperienced-Bustle
10 settled bets Too few bets
Elena Rybakina @ 76¢ $2.0K — +$632
Exemplary-Cloud
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 95¢ $1.8K — +$99
Long-Term-Sustainment-Globe
4 settled bets Too few bets
Elena Rybakina @ 95¢ $1.2K — +$56
Scrawny-Windshield-Equation
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 95¢ $1.1K — +$59
Ironclad-Herbs
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 90¢ $1.1K — +$119
Zigzag-Spiderling-Highway
16 settled bets Too few bets
Elena Rybakina @ 91¢ $1.0K — +$104

Where the whale money went

  1. Elena Rybakina won
    $141K
    94% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $22K sold
  2. Leylah Fernandez lost
    $7.5K
    5% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  3. Elena Rybakina lost
    $2.0K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793084411).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Panthers (-7.5) $52K 8 Won: Buccaneers
Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov $102K 4 Won: Semen Pankin
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili $110K 16 Won: Daniil Medvedev
Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova $123K 15 Won: Katerina Siniakova
Spread: Jets (-4.5) $70K 4 Won: Dolphins
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5 $157K 3 Won: Over
Spread: Panthers (-3.5) $76K 4 Won: Buccaneers
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? $144K 6 Won: No
About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed