Cheery-Communication
0xd9dde44ddeababae222bf7aec96c85cbdab6b525
Cheery-Communication: −$14K on 66 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 41% (95% range 30%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$14K
return −10.8%
Settled bets
66
$132K staked
Won
40.9%
95% range 30%–53%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 45 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.2K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$10K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$23K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Alycia Parks
@ 61¢
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Alycia Parks |
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Alycia Parks | $2.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Lorenzo Musetti
@ 38¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti | $2.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Andrey Rublev
@ 47¢
Game Spread: Andrey Rublev (-3.5) vs Rei Sakamoto (+3.5) |
Game Spread: Andrey Rublev (-3.5) vs Rei Sakamoto (+3.5) | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Thunder
@ 46¢
Spread: Thunder (-12.5) |
Spread: Thunder (-12.5) | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
Charaeva vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5 |
Charaeva vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5 | $1.9K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Over 2.5
@ 36¢
Alina Charaeva vs. Qinwen Zheng: Total Sets O/U 2.5 |
Alina Charaeva vs. Qinwen Zheng: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Alex Molcan
@ 32¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | $1.7K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Alex Molcan
@ 39¢
Set Handicap: Alex Molcan (-1.5) vs Federico Cina (+1.5) |
Set Handicap: Alex Molcan (-1.5) vs Federico Cina (+1.5) | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.