Lone-Stench
0x6b91e8dd1e3498077cffef62299512a9910f06c4
Lone-Stench: +$13K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 17%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$13K
return +81.4%
Settled bets
10
$16K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 17%–69%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$15K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL Pedro Martinez
@ 99.9¢
Villena: August Holmgren vs Pedro Martinez |
Villena: August Holmgren vs Pedro Martinez | $23K |
| Sep 29 | BUY J.J. Wolf
@ 10¢
Columbus: Dylan Dietrich vs J.J. Wolf |
Columbus: Dylan Dietrich vs J.J. Wolf | $1.1K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Harold Mayot
@ 58¢
Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg |
Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $1.1K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 23¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? |
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Braden Shick
@ 47¢
Tiburon: Braden Shick vs J.J. Wolf |
Tiburon: Braden Shick vs J.J. Wolf | $1.5K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Kilian Feldbausch
@ 42¢
Szczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian Feldbausch |
Szczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian Feldbausch | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Facundo Acosta
@ 42¢
Seville: Jaume Munar vs Facundo Acosta |
Seville: Jaume Munar vs Facundo Acosta | $6.9K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Pedro Martinez
@ 99.9¢
Genoa: Laslo Djere vs Pedro Martinez |
Genoa: Laslo Djere vs Pedro Martinez | $7.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.