Fuzzy-Patience-Parent
0x61a8d4b326218a2fd2abd32b0670b16ba2f41ad4
Fuzzy-Patience-Parent: +$9.7K on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 30%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$9.7K
return +25.5%
Settled bets
25
$38K staked
Won
48.0%
95% range 30%–67%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$6.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$3.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | BUY Adam Walton
@ 32¢
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton |
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton | $5.8K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Elena Malygina
@ 55¢
Porto: Oceane Dodin vs Elena Malygina |
Porto: Oceane Dodin vs Elena Malygina | $4.1K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Rebeka Masarova
@ 30¢
Tolentino: Isabella Maria Serban vs Rebeka Masarova |
Tolentino: Isabella Maria Serban vs Rebeka Masarova | $3.9K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Rebeka Masarova
@ 58¢
Tolentino: Isabella Maria Serban vs Rebeka Masarova |
Tolentino: Isabella Maria Serban vs Rebeka Masarova | $8.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Calvin Hemery
@ 27¢
Plovdiv 4: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Calvin Hemery |
Plovdiv 4: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Calvin Hemery | $2.3K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Fajing Sun
@ 99.9¢
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun |
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun | $2.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Fajing Sun
@ 73¢
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun |
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun | $1.4K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Pedro Martinez
@ 53¢
Buenos Aires 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Pedro Martinez |
Buenos Aires 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Pedro Martinez | $2.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.