Determined-Originality
0xa74581ebc457ca0ac679e6cb8851edc40c928ca6
Determined-Originality: +$322 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$322
return +2.9%
Settled bets
3
$11K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$254
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$68
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | $2.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | $9.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | $3.9K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | $1.2K |
| Sep 6 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | $5.0K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $1.0K |
| Aug 23 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | $4.9K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.