Wiggly-Alliance
Skill vs luck
Wiggly-Alliance on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$440. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wiggly-Alliance: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x5f5ea9a5cc8aa38ea69fcd59a89330abbbbb463f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wiggly-Alliance: +$440 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 20 – Nov 4
- +$440
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | $2.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 92¢ | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 49¢ | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 79¢ | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $1.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.