Frail-Bloom

0xe34089c3d5c8f9630781beba9cc844dedf932610

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Frail-Bloom: +$40 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$40
return +1.2%
Settled bets
2
$3.2K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$35
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$5
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 23 BUY No @ 99.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? $1.6K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 98¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $1.6K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed