Warm-Task-Essay
0x6209be5adcc6d89dcf56c62ea1bf9c898fcca62e
Warm-Task-Essay: +$2 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$2
return +0.1%
Settled bets
1
$2.3K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$2
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | $2.3K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.