Descriptive-Embossing
Skill vs luck
Descriptive-Embossing on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$5.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Descriptive-Embossing: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6640bd87f6e4b6e8d62457448bd1b3a4711a2202. Data CC BY 4.0.
Descriptive-Embossing: +$5.7K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$1.7K
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- +$4.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL No @ 60¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY No @ 24¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 21 | SELL No @ 81¢ | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $1.4K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.