Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
37 whales put $179K into this market since Aug 20, 65% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 30 whales whose whole position we captured, 16 made +$21K and 14 lost −$55K: −$34K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 37| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moist-Dame
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 84¢ | $32K | — | +$6.2K |
| Daring-Alcove
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 27¢ | $20K | — | −$20K |
| Grumpy-Urn
13 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 79¢ | $14K | — | −$3.9K |
| Personal-Bake
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 83¢ | $12K | — | +$2.3K |
| Unimportant-Place
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 18¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Careful-Bunch
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 80¢ | $11K | — | +$2.7K |
| 0xf08d…0811
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 82¢ | $6.9K | — | +$1.6K |
| Harsh-Macro
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 79¢ | $6.6K | — | +$1.8K |
| Reasonable-Garden
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 75¢ | $3.4K | $2.6K | +$430 |
| Feminine-Log
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 83¢ | $4.7K | — | +$970 |
| Advanced-Mailer
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 79¢ | $4.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Dapper-Efficacy
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 24¢ | $4.0K | — | −$4.0K |
| Firm-Pinafore
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 75¢ | $3.8K | — | +$1.3K |
| Traumatic-Windchime
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 75¢ | $3.6K | — | −$3.6K |
| Positive-Blend
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 78¢ | $3.6K | — | +$1.0K |
| Frozen-Wave
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.5K | — |
| Purple-Broccoli
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 26¢ | $2.6K | — | −$2.6K |
| Velvety-Burn
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 80¢ | $2.4K | — | +$614 |
| Menacing-Blogger
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 94¢ | $2.3K | — | +$141 |
| Yellow-Dress-Ballet
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 23¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Disguised-Honesty-Rest
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 78¢ | $2.0K | — | +$550 |
| 0x80ab…8624
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 82¢ | $2.0K | — | +$450 |
| Composed-Scooter
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Miserly-Hugger
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Gleeful-Milkshake
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$106K65% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $8.0K sold
-
Yes lost$46K28% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $6.1K sold
-
No lost$12K7% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.2K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).