Disguised-Honesty-Rest
0x51d69ac196da40263872a2fdec4337db904fabf4
Disguised-Honesty-Rest: +$1.8K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.8K
return +35.5%
Settled bets
2
$5.0K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $3.0K |
| Aug 20 | BUY No
@ 78¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $2.0K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.