Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales put $134K into this market since Aug 27, 91% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$2.1K and 5 lost −$7.5K: −$5.4K between them.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Inferior-Plough-Acrylic
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 96¢ $36K $29K +$1.1K
Quintessential-Beef-Living
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $20K — +$689
Velvety-Rutabaga
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $4.5K $7.3K —
Dry-Legislature
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.1K —
Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.0K —
Reasonable-Paradise
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $3.9K — +$84
Velvety-Burn
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.61¢ $3.7K — +$15
Menacing-Blogger
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $3.6K — +$38
Composed-Modem
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.1K —
Loathsome-Solicitation
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 96¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Simplistic-Jellyfish
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $1.8K — +$39
Moist-Staff
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 6¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Fearless-Wasabi
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 0.78¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Grown-Fence
29 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 99.6¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Each-Yahoo
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 1¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Eminent-Fun
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $1.1K — +$36
Dearest-Agenda
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 97¢ $1.0K — +$35

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $75K
    91% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $40K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $3.9K
    5% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $6.1K sold
  3. No lost
    $3.6K
    4% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $5.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 27 to Sep 21, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed