Gleeful-Milkshake

0xe79e8cd1c07bcf8915c547683b8bc5bcd871a5c4

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Gleeful-Milkshake: +$1.6K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.6K
return +91.6%
Settled bets
4
$1.7K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$1.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 25 SELL No @ 28¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $1.7K
Aug 24 BUY No @ 29¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $1.7K
Aug 24 SELL Yes @ 22¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $1.8K
Aug 20 SELL No @ 92¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? $1.3K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed