Paltry-Exhibit
Skill vs luck
Paltry-Exhibit on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$2.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Paltry-Exhibit: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x073a1caba3c22e9e361ceae83aaa5405706f91e7. Data CC BY 4.0.
Paltry-Exhibit: +$2.6K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- +$2.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | SELL Yes @ 34¢ | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? ↗ | $2.6K |
| Sep 14 | SELL Yes @ 5¢ | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? ↗ | $2.2K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Yes
@ 6¢
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY
@ 44¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? | $1.2K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.