Odd-Deformation
0x760907c8840491c8c86fddb843d3f1d801786c4e
Odd-Deformation: +$455 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$455
return +20.4%
Settled bets
4
$2.2K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$459
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$4
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? | $2.0K |
| Sep 19 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | $2.0K |
| Sep 9 | SELL Yes
@ 33¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $1.2K |
| Sep 7 | SELL No
@ 56¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | $1.7K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Yes
@ 73¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $2.1K |
| Sep 5 | SELL No
@ 85¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | $1.7K |
| Aug 26 | BUY No
@ 77¢
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | $1.5K |
| Aug 24 | BUY Yes
@ 80¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.