Villainous-Following
Skill vs luck
Villainous-Following on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$24. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Villainous-Following: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x535c23380a9bc0c9652ed6b3ae77d8f7cdf296ba. Data CC BY 4.0.
Villainous-Following: +$24 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$24
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | SELL No @ 93¢ | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 30 | SELL No @ 85¢ | Iran leadership change by December 31? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 30 | SELL No @ 94¢ | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 30 | SELL No @ 96¢ | Trump out as President before 2027? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 30 | SELL No @ 97¢ | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 30 | SELL No @ 98¢ | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Yes
@ 93¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? |
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | $1.1K |
| Oct 30 | SELL No @ 99.8¢ | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? ↗ | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.