Ajar-Sportsman
0xf797d4d1c038d1eb0593edae0e66bf8e4b2e0bf2
Ajar-Sportsman: +$1.3K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.3K
return +28.5%
Settled bets
2
$4.4K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$1.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,007 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | SELL No @ 97¢ | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 16 | BUY No
@ 59¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | $1.5K |
| Oct 11 | BUY No
@ 77¢
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? |
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? | $3.1K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Yes @ 34¢ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Aug 28 | BUY No
@ 55¢
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? |
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | $1.3K |
| Aug 21 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | $3.1K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.