Polymarket market · Crypto

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $68K on this market since Nov 1, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 84% of the size there to buy. No won, with 100% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$294 and 0 lost $0: +$294 between them. Biggest win: Impractical-Devastation, +$84 on No.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Tender-Likelihood
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.7¢ $16K $2.0K +$47
Open-Medium
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.71¢ $17K — +$49
Definitive-Yin
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.77¢ $14K — +$32
Kind-Scenery
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.55¢ $5.0K — +$23
Impractical-Devastation
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $4.6K — +$84
Jolly-Chin
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.8¢ $2.6K — +$5
Soft-Platform
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $2.0K — +$29
Known-Talking
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.7¢ $2.0K — +$6
Winged-Dumbwaiter-Tonality
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.7¢ $1.7K — +$5
Pertinent-Subcomponent
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $1.1K — +$14

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $66K
    100% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $2.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 1 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed