Taut-Ease-Bloodflow
0xa19cbababc312f9df185e49d7004c249ed1ade6b
Taut-Ease-Bloodflow: +$26K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 59% (95% range 36%–78%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$26K
return +21.7%
Settled bets
17
$118K staked
Won
58.8%
95% range 36%–78%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$18K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$11K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$3.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 43¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | $1.9K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 50¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 24¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? |
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 67¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11? | $2.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 62¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | $4.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 65¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | $18K |
| Sep 30 | BUY No
@ 65¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | $2.6K |
| Sep 30 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.