Worse-Haunt
0x84d3e37ad85b7ce551b0b4d6bb9c19551f73b286
Worse-Haunt: +$235 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 27%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$235
return +0.9%
Settled bets
9
$27K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 27%–81%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$110
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$125
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 99¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11? | $8.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 99.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | $3.0K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | $8.1K |
| Oct 2 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? | $2.0K |
| Sep 5 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6? | $4.3K |
| Sep 5 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 August 31-September 6? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 August 31-September 6? | $2.8K |
| Sep 5 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6? | $15K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.