Hard-To-Find-Obsession
Skill vs luck
Hard-To-Find-Obsession on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$108. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Hard-To-Find-Obsession: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x8bc2ae36edd4a06763743bcc2041c3634db4c1ca. Data CC BY 4.0.
Hard-To-Find-Obsession: +$108 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$35
- Oct 3 – Oct 17
- +$73
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY No @ 94¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? ↗ | $1.1K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.