Pessimistic-Abdomen
0xa2f1fecf1cc7db65a46588f764b6691533052d22
Pessimistic-Abdomen: −$20K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 31%–83%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$20K
return −28.6%
Settled bets
10
$69K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 31%–83%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$22K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$2.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09? | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 99.12¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09? | $8.4K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Cowboys
@ 81¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $16K |
| Oct 1 | SELL No
@ 95¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | $12K |
| Oct 1 | SELL No
@ 85¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October? |
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October? | $1.3K |
| Sep 24 | SELL No
@ 99.28¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | $3.5K |
| Sep 24 | SELL No
@ 99.25¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | $6.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.