Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

26 whales put $122K into this market since Aug 20, 90% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 26
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Forthright-Kingfish
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 65¢ $58K —
0xd980…5be0
no settled record
Yes @ 12¢ $6.0K —
Dimpled-Foal
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.6K
0x4dae…3ea8
no settled record
sold only $0 $5.5K
Skinny-Eurocentrism
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.0K
Accurate-Faith
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 76¢ $4.2K —
Hideous-Leg
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 83¢ $4.2K —
That-Fabric
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 76¢ $3.3K —
0xfdad…6162
no settled record
sold only $0 $3.2K
Electric-Architect
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.7K
High-Bow
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.6K
0x216b…d8a5
no settled record
Yes @ 20¢ $2.5K —
0xe5eb…1bd3
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.9K
0xb326…c43f
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.9K
0x862b…e9b9
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.9K
0xd9ae…4081
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.7K
0x7e50…606b
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.6K
0xdb97…eee8
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.5K
Excited-Bond
26 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K
0xd8c6…9211
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.2K
0xe450…f0a9
no settled record
No @ 83¢ $1.1K —
Apprehensive-Breakdown
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 89¢ $1.1K —
0x114a…b24e
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.1K
0xba1e…fd2e
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.0K
Embellished-Observatory
13 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 84¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $74K
    90% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $25K sold
  2. Yes
    $8.5K
    10% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $15K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed