Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales traded $69K on this market since Oct 1, 96% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Quizzical-Unique
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $22K —
Odd-Cannon
114 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.7¢ $21K —
0xefa5…24a6
no settled record
No @ 97¢ $5.8K —
Quizzical-Discussion
10 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $4.2K —
Prudent-Punishment-Incubation
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K
Silly-Coral
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $2.7K —
Hasty-Saucer
11 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $2.5K —
0x8c38…35d5
no settled record
No @ 99.06¢ $2.1K —
0x9123…9d02
no settled record
No @ 99.06¢ $2.0K —
0xe175…01a1
no settled record
No @ 97¢ $1.4K —
0x32c2…f589
no settled record
No @ 97¢ $1.2K —
0xa81e…ae00
no settled record
No @ 98¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $63K
    96% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $3.0K sold
  2. No
    $2.5K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793170821).

About this data · run 1793170821, computed 2026-10-28 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793170821 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed