That-Fabric
0xddf0d9b902fcdc5c6cd6548447d15f539db4119b
That-Fabric: −$2.7K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 32%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.7K
return −10.2%
Settled bets
12
$27K staked
Won
58.3%
95% range 32%–81%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.4K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$629
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$46
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11? |
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11? | $1.0K |
| Sep 29 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will Solana reach $170 in September? |
Will Solana reach $170 in September? | $1.0K |
| Sep 29 | SELL No
@ 99¢
Will Solana reach $150 in September? |
Will Solana reach $150 in September? | $2.1K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? | $1.6K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | $3.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? | $1.9K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | $1.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will XRP reach $2.80 in September? |
Will XRP reach $2.80 in September? | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.