Polymarket market · Crypto
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $51K on this market since Aug 22, 93% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $11K | — |
| 0xf7eb…31c3
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $10K |
| Kind-Nanoparticle
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 96¢ | $9.1K | — |
| Frizzy-Consensus
11 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 96¢ | $3.7K | — |
| Grand-Restoration
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 96¢ | $2.9K | — |
| Heartfelt-Stew
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K |
| 0x43f1…5fb0
no settled record |
No @ 96¢ | $2.4K | — |
| 0x0aae…251c
no settled record |
No @ 95¢ | $2.0K | — |
| 0x2470…22e5
no settled record |
No @ 97¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0x2ec0…976b
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
| 0x51b5…2ef4
no settled record |
No @ 97¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0x4873…e5d8
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
| Bite-Sized-Fen
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K |
| 0x488b…219b
no settled record |
No @ 97¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$32K93% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $16K sold
-
No$2.4K7% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793343609).
More crypto markets the whales bet on
All Crypto →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | $158K | 22 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | $85K | 13 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | $155K | 24 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | $90K | 17 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? | $56K | 9 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | $255K | 19 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | $61K | 7 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | $124K | 8 | Open |