Polymarket market · Other

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

19 whales put $90K into this market since Aug 21, 61% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

19 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Impassioned-Watch
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $19K
0x80f1…3ccd
no settled record
No @ 87¢ $11K —
Awesome-Availability
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $9.5K
Fearful-Congress
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 88¢ $9.0K —
Foolish-Contrail
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 11¢ $8.4K —
Bleak-Full
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 8¢ $3.2K $4.5K
0x0f2b…665a
no settled record
No @ 89¢ $4.5K —
0x91b1…cee1
no settled record
sold only $0 $3.6K
0x449c…879e
no settled record
Yes @ 14¢ $1.4K $1.4K
Well-Worn-Result
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.6K
Unsteady-Enjoyment
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K
Vague-Speech
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 9¢ $1.6K —
0xfb59…83f9
no settled record
Yes @ 12¢ $1.4K —
Bare-Stag
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K
0x7803…9e91
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.3K
Unwitting-Raid
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K
0x7fd2…9d02
no settled record
Yes @ 11¢ $1.2K —
Another-Photograph-Activist
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 12¢ $1.1K —
Wiry-Estuary
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 84¢ $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $27K
    61% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $36K sold
  2. Yes
    $17K
    39% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $11K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 21 to Oct 7, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed