Needy-Cenotaph
0xeb22f4735df6bd5d14e1b5fd10faefa7757d808a
Needy-Cenotaph: +$12K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$12K
return +178.6%
Settled bets
4
$6.8K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$9.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes
@ 7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 16¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | $1.6K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Yes
@ 53¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | $2.7K |
| Sep 20 | SELL No
@ 21¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $2.0K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Yes
@ 22¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 32¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $1.3K |
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 20¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $1.6K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.