Foolish-Contrail
0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df
Foolish-Contrail: +$5.0K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$5.0K
return +32.9%
Settled bets
2
$15K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$5.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 50¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | $1.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 69¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | $14K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Yes
@ 14¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | $2.0K |
| Aug 24 | BUY Yes
@ 11¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | $6.4K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.