Polymarket market · Other

Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $306K into this market since Sep 28, 100% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$41K and 0 lost $0: +$41K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0x361b…74fe
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 82¢ $174K — +$38K
Splendid-Armour-Knee
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $85K —
Bare-Creek-Console
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $12K —
Variable-Hole-Permission
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $12K —
Wasteful-Fourths
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $11K —
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 82¢ $6.2K — +$1.4K
0xf68a…5b13
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 82¢ $2.7K — +$592
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 81¢ $1.7K — +$403
Silky-Geometry
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 82¢ $1.7K — +$362

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $187K
    100% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $120K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 28 to Sep 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed