Paltry-Reliability
0x9772c6029eaa741bb85bca698fecbbc49aab4867
Paltry-Reliability: +$1.7K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.7K
return +37.7%
Settled bets
7
$4.5K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 25%–84%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$344
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$1.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL Xipto Esports
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs |
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 5 | SELL LEGION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY M80
@ 85¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Down
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | SELL FURIA
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Aleksandar Vukic
@ 62¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Jie Cui vs Aleksandar Vukic |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Jie Cui vs Aleksandar Vukic | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Japan win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Japan win on 2026-09-24? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.