Polymarket market · Other

Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $58K into this market since Aug 20, 79% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$35K and 1 lost −$11K: +$23K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Realistic-Chive-Tenet
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 45¢ $11K — −$11K
Edible-Gum
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $11K — +$9.8K
Cooperative-Nestmate
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 55¢ $8.8K — +$7.2K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $8.2K — +$5.0K
Courageous-Robin
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $5.8K — +$5.0K
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 69¢ $3.9K — +$1.7K
International-Deal
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $3.2K — +$32
Yawning-Chicken
241 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 52¢ $2.9K — +$2.7K
Periodic-Hornet
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 52¢ $2.4K — +$2.2K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 58¢ $1.4K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $46K
    79% of whale buying · 9 buyers
  2. Yes lost
    $13K
    22% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed