Periodic-Hornet

0x52d93dcf81444f793dda7fedc370f7a35101fb1a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Periodic-Hornet: −$2.7K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 27%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.7K
return −13.1%
Settled bets
9
$21K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 27%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 31 BUY No @ 76¢
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-30?
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-30? $3.3K
Aug 30 BUY No @ 41¢
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-30?
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-30? $2.3K
Aug 29 BUY No @ 67¢
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-08-29?
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-08-29? $1.2K
Aug 28 BUY Yes @ 52¢
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-29?
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-29? $1.3K
Aug 26 BUY Under @ 54¢
AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5
AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5 $3.3K
Aug 25 BUY Yes @ 44¢
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-08-25?
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-08-25? $2.7K
Aug 22 BUY No @ 59¢
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-22?
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-22? $1.8K
Aug 21 BUY No @ 54¢
Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-08-21?
Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-08-21? $2.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed