Polymarket market · Other

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

18 whales put $308K into this market since Aug 20, 100% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$1.4K and 1 lost −$1.0K: +$354 between them.

The whales on this market

18 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Shocked-Anagram
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.72¢ $197K — +$554
Serene-Decision
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $20K — +$504
Whimsical-Terminal
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $15K —
Impassioned-Watch
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.1¢ $7.3K $7.3K +$37
0x56e7…7c0b
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $13K —
Terrible-Agenda
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $11K —
Meek-Shore-Armchair
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $7.7K —
Quizzical-Discussion
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $7.2K — +$130
Smoggy-Sunglasses
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.3K —
Questionable-Extinction
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.0K —
This-Canoe
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $2.6K — +$74
Kaleidoscopic-Camp
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $1.9K — +$32
Short-Term-Copying-Son
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Coordinated-Leather
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Simplistic-Jellyfish
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $1.4K — +$26
Cheerful-Ephemera
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $1.3K — +$18
Dreary-Arena
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $1.2K — +$26
Hateful-Generation
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 4¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $240K
    100% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $67K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $1.0K
    0% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? $85K 21 Won: Yes
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? $212K 31 Won: Yes
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? $788K 77 Won: Yes
Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? $117K 16 Won: No
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 $76K 18 Won: Over
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-15? $83K 9 Won: Yes
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5 $66K 7 Won: Over
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5 $52K 7 Won: Over
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed