This-Canoe
0xcc486b83c61d3948dcd0150e63a9bd596cd8bab5
This-Canoe: +$904 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$904
return +10.9%
Settled bets
5
$8.3K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$331
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | $1.3K |
| Sep 21 | BUY No
@ 99.61¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | $2.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | $3.7K |
| Sep 16 | SELL No
@ 99.88¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | $3.7K |
| Aug 25 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | $2.6K |
| Aug 25 | SELL No
@ 89¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | $3.4K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.