Terrible-Agenda
0x17e313bb9173febb23c865a2ef8a4e8e0eaf9ba5
Terrible-Agenda: −$56 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$56
return −3.7%
Settled bets
2
$1.5K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$58
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$2
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | BUY No
@ 99.87¢
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? |
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | $1.5K |
| Aug 31 | SELL No
@ 99.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | $11K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.