Polymarket market · Other

Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $463K into this market since Aug 23, 80% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$327K and 9 lost −$72K: +$255K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Excited-Subtitle
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 51¢ $374K — +$318K
0x0b08…02ab
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 49¢ $20K — −$20K
Disgusting-Pet-Depressive
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 58¢ $14K — −$14K
Unfinished-Reason
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 50¢ $9.9K — −$9.9K
Wan-Flash
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 49¢ $8.7K — −$8.7K
Imaginative-River
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.02¢ $8.0K — +$79
Immense-Registry-Wasabi
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 49¢ $5.5K — −$5.5K
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 49¢ $5.1K — −$5.1K
Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 43¢ $5.0K — +$6.6K
Imperturbable-Counter
95 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 48¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Bad-Documentation
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 58¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 49¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Coarse-Whorl
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 52¢ $2.4K — +$2.2K
Biodegradable-Prevalence
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $369K
    80% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.1K sold
  2. No lost
    $72K
    16% of whale buying · 9 buyers
  3. Yes lost
    $21K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed